工作报告（第19周）.pptVIP

工作报告（第19周） 唐晓静2014.1.11 上周计划 比较控制实验与敏感性实验结果（资料分辨率的限制，分析大尺度环流场的差异），初步分析卡努影响北京暴雨的途径（水汽输送）； 北京西南方向的低涡等中尺度天气系统对暴雨也有重要影响，需要用其他方法另作研究。 本周小结 用黄龄的嵌套方案（3重嵌套），做了三组起始时间分别为07/17/00Z, 07/18/00Z, 07/18/12Z的试验，每组试验均包含8种参数化方案组合； 采用双重嵌套，从2012/07/18/00Z开始积分，做了同样一组包含8个参数化方案组合的试验； 科研进展 最终选择双重嵌套，从2012/07/18/00Z开始积分作为控制试验： 理由：黄龄的逐小时雨带演变过程是同化之后的效果，没有同化的控制试验中，雨带模拟效果没有很好。综合来看选择从2012/07/18/00Z开始积分的效果更好、更合理；2重嵌套结果好于3重嵌套； WRFV3.2 Configuration 控制实验 敏感性实验 Initial time 2012/07/18/00 Z 2012/07/18/00 Z Domain 13.5 * 4.5 km 13.5 * 4.5 km Time step 30s 30s TC bogus Not used used 下周计划 分析两组试验结果，在年会上报告卡努对暴雨的影响过程； 完善Hysplit水汽追踪试验； 文献阅读 Orographic effects on localized heavy rainfall events over southwestern Taiwan on 27 and 28 June 2008 during the post-Mei-Yu period. (Ching-Sen et al,.2011, Atmospheric Research) This paper focused on the orographic effects on two heavy rainfall events happened in Taiwan and methods including observational data analysis, like ECMWF data, radar reflectivity, rainfall data, and numerical simulations with WRF model were used. It showed that the conditional instability is released over sloped areas by orographic lifting of the moist air and convection and the continuous inland-movement convection embedded in the relatively faster moist southwesterly flow. What inspired me most was the terrain effects on heavy rainfall. In Beijing 721 rainfall event, the terrain must have played key role. The methods used in this paper can be introduced into my future work of rainfall study.