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Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 8, 109– 122, 2008 Natural Hazards
/8/109/2008/
© Author(s) 2008. This work is distributed under and Earth
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. System Sciences
Seismicity assessment for the different regions in and around Turkey
based on instrumental data: Gumbel first asymptotic distribution
and Gutenberg-Richter cumulative frequency law
1 ¨ ¨ 1 2 2 2
Y. Bayrak , S. Ozturk , G. Ch. Koravos , G. A. Leventakis , and T. M. Tsapanos
1Karadeniz Technical University, Department of Geophysics, 61080 Trabzon, Turkey
2Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, School of Geology, Geophysical Laboratory, 54124, Thessaloniki, Greece
Received: 20 September 2007 – Revised: 20 December 2007 – Accepted: 18 January 2008 – Published: 21 February 2008
Abstract. The evaluation of the seismicity in 24 seismic re- 1 Introduction
gions, in which Turkey and adjacent areas divided, is car-
ried out. For this purpose two methods are adopted. The Many quantitative methods have been applied over the years
first is the “whole process” which follows the Gutenberg and to estimate seismicity in various regions of the world. The
Richter distribution frequency-magnitude law, while the sec- most popular methods used are the Gutenberg-Richter law
ond one is the “part process” which is well known as the the- and the Gumbel’s asymptotic distributions. The latter has
ory of extreme values. This theory was developed by Gum- many advantages. One of them is that it takes into ac-
bel in order to solve many geophysical problems. The first count only the largest
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