基于MM5模式的我国近海海洋风能资源评估﹡.pdfVIP

基于MM5 模式的我国近海海洋风能资源评估 1 2 1 2 1 姜波 ，杨学联 ，张松 ，邢建勇 ，马治忠 （1．国家海洋技术中心，天津300111；2. 国家海洋环境预报中心，北京100081） 摘要：通过908 专项调查资料和中尺度气象模式MM5 相融合的方法为我国近海风能资源评估提供 一定时空分辨率的风场。主要探讨了将GTS 常规观测资料、908 专项调查资料和卫星遥感风场反演 资料计入中尺度气象模式MM5 的同化方法，同化美国NCEP 水平分辨率为1°×1°的2007~2008 年再 分析数据，重构了分辨率为0.1°×0.1°风场，对我国近海进行了两个模拟试验，并将不同模拟结果与 实测值进行比较，结果表明，时空分辨率较高的观测资料同化风风场模拟结果具有一定的改善作用。 根据模拟结果计算了我国近海10 m 高度处平均风速、平均风功率密度和总蕴藏量等风能资源评估参 8 数。计算结果表明：我国近海海洋风能资源总蕴藏量约为8.83×10 kW ，其中江苏、福建、广东和山 东海洋风能资源丰富，辽宁和浙江海洋风能也较为丰富。 关键词：海洋风能资源；MM5 模式；我国近海 Ocean Wind Energy Resource Assessment on the China’s Offshore by Using MM5 Model 1 2 1 2 1 JIANG Bo ,YANG Xue-lian ,ZHANG Song ,XING Jian-yong ，MA Zhi-zhong (1.National Ocean Technology Center，Tianjin 300111，China;2.National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center ，Beijing 100081 ，China) Abstract ：An approach for China ’s offshore wind resource was presented by the macro-scale meteorological model MM5 with 908 special investigation data. This presentation mainly showed the influence on simulation results by assimilating the GTS routine observational data,908 special investigation data and the wind-retrieved data from the Sea Winds on QuikSCAT satellite into MM5 model. The horizontal resolution of 0.1°× 0.1° wind field was reconstructed by assimilating the American NCEP horizontal resolution of 1°× 1° reanalysis data from 2007 to 2008. Two simulation test was done and the results showed that higher resolution of space and time observation data assimilation wind simulation results have certain improvement action. Wind resource assessment parameters were calculated of China’s offshore at the height of 10 meters, for example of average velocity , average wind power