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《Central banking after the crisis》
This paper explores where central banking is heading after the recent financial crisis.
First it will discuss the central bank consensus before the crisis;(P1-3)
[危机之前的中央银行共识]
and then will outline the key facts learned from the crisis that require changes in the way central banks conduct their business;(P3-10重点)
[概述危机教训中的关键事实,要求改变中央银行中的管理方式]
Finally, it will discuss four main areas in which central banks are altering their policy frame works:
1) the interaction between monetary and financial stability policies, (P10-18重点)
2) nonconventional monetary policy(P19),
3) risk management and
4) fiscal dominance and monetary policy.
[中央银行正在改变其政策框架的四个领域:1.货币及金融稳定政策之间的相互影响;2.非常规货币政策;3.风险管理;4.财政支配和货币政策]
The paper then ends with some concluding remarks.
Events in the recent global financial crisis have changed central banking forever.
[在最近的全球金融危机的事件永远改变了中央银行。]
Although the basic central banking paradigm of flexible inflation targeting in which the central bank makes a credible commitment to stabilize inflation in the long run is still valid, the form of its flexibility requires substantial rethinking.
[虽然作为中央银行基本范式的灵活通货膨胀目标制,从长远来看是仍然有效的,中央银行须可信的承诺稳定通货膨胀;但是灵活的形式需要实质的再思考。]
There are four areas in which central banks need to make, and are making, major changes in the way they conduct policy.
[中央银行需要从四个方面对他们执行政策的方式作出重大改变,并且他们正在改变之中。]
First, monetary policy at times need to lean against credit-driven bubbles, and there is an interaction of monetary policy with macro prudential policy, in which tighter macro prudential policy will require easier monetary policy and vice versa.
[第一,货币政策有时需要克服信贷驱动型的经济泡沫;而货币政策与宏观审慎监管政策存在相互影响,紧缩的宏观审慎政策将要求更宽松的货币政策的配合,反之亦然。]
Second, at the current juncture the nonconventional monetary policy of managing expectations is needed to stabilize the economy, but the communications challenges are serious ones.
[第二,当前时刻需要非常规的货币政策中的管理期望来稳定经济,但通信挑战是严重的问题。]
Third, the nonlinearities of the macro economy implies that central ba
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