基于可靠性和成本电力变压器变周期预防性维护策略.pdfVIP

1,2 1 2 2 1 210016 2 410083) : : TM464 A Predictive maintenance strategy of variable period of power transformer based on reliability and cost 1,2 1 2 2 Hu Zhikun , Jiang Bin ,Yin Linzi ,Chen Xiaolong (1 College of Automation Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China; 2 School of Physics and Electronics, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China) Abstract: The maintenance strategy of identical period can decrease the reliability of power transformer with the increase of the maintenance times, and a predictive maintenance strategy of variable period of power transformer was presented considering low cost and high reliability. An evolutive model of fault rate , which life decreaseing factor and fault increasing factor were weighted to act as, was constructed. The cost model was built which the costs included small repairing cost, predictive maintenance cost and productive loss. And then an optimal model of predictive maintenance strategy was built bo overcome the shortcoming of predictive maintenance model with identical period which is not operational. Simulation that the distribution of fault time satisfy Weilbull distribution is carried out, and results show that the model is effective key words: predictive maintenance, power transformer, Weilbull distribution.