青少年活体年龄推测的程序方法与标准.docVIP

青少年活体年龄推测的程序、方法与标准 摘要 青少年活体年龄推测是综合身体各系统发育年龄的科学鉴定过程，推测程序包括身体检查、骨龄、牙龄、综合评价。在选择评价方法和标准时应充分考虑种族差异、社会经济状况背景、以及青少年身体发育长期趋势等因素。骨龄是年龄推测的主要依据，而根据骨龄预测年龄的95%置信区间更加重要。在身体各关节部位中手腕部骨骼发育的变异性最小，所以手腕部骨龄是目前普遍采用的主要年龄推测方法。中华-05 RC图谱法和骺线骨龄法能够以同一部位骨龄推测14~20岁当代中国青少年的年龄。在综合评价中应分析不同身体系统发育年龄的95%的置信区间，以及分析不同系统发育成熟指征的特征，寻找是否存在判断发育提前或延迟类型可能性，缩小年龄推测范围。为提高年龄推测的准确性，尚需进一步研究中国青少年牙龄标准，以及身体不同系统发育之间的相互关系。  The age estimation in living subjects for adolescents: the Proceedings, methods and standards /（1ZHANG Shao-yan, ZHANG Ji-ye /1Hebei Sports Science Research Institute, Shijiazhuang, 050011, China; 2Shijiazhuang Jin Shuo Computer Work Room, Shijiazhuang 050031, China) ［Abstract］It is a scientific course that the age was identified by synthesizing the age estimates of different developmental systems examined, and the proceedings of age estimate are the physical examination, the dental x-ray i.e. panoramic radiographs to determine the development stages of teeth, x-ray of the left hand and wrist and overall age estimate. But, the influences of ethnicity, socioeconomic background and secular trend of development for adolescent were fully considered in the selection of methods and standards. The age estimation is mostly depended on development analysis of skeleton. However, it is more important that the 95% confidence interval (CI) of predicted age is represented on the base of skeletal age. The variation of the development of the hand skeleton is the minimum in timing of epiphyseal union in the postcranial skeleton, so radiological analysis of the skeleton of hand and wrist is a key pillar of forensic age diagnostics in living subjects. Using China-05 RUS-CHN (RC) Atlas and Epiphyseal Line methods, the forensic age estimation for contemporary Chinese adolescent aged 14~20 years can be made by same skeletal region. In overall age estimate the 95%CI of age and character in maturity are analysis for every development system, to found out whether the signs that development is advanced or delayed i