Study on Container Throughput Forecasting for Shipping and Port.pptVIP

* KOREA MARITIME INSTITUTE Study on Container Throughput Forecasting for Shipping and Port Development Strategies in the APEC Region 22nd APEC Transportation Working Group Meeting 1-5 September 2003, Busan, Korea Overview New Project Introduce MPPM Discussions Conclusion CONTENTS Korea Maritime Institute NEED FOR STRATEGIES FOR PORT DEVELOPMENT AND SHIPPING NETWORK PORT DEVELOPMENT : HUGE AND LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CARGO FORECATING - DEVELOPING COUNTIRES: NO FORECATING - DEVELOPED COUNTRIES: OVER FORECATING SHIPPING REQUIREMENT IN THE REGION Korea Maritime Institute OBJECTIVES OF STUDY PROVIDING MEDIUM AND LONG-TERM PROSPECTS FOR SHIPPING AND PORT DEVELOPMENT FORMULATING POLICY GUIDELINES FOR REGIONAL MARITIME STRATEGY PLANNING ACCESSING THE IMPACT OF THE CHANGES IN MARITITME ENVIRONMENT Korea Maritime Institute METHODOLOGY COLLECTING BASE DATA - CIY DATA - SURVEY TO PORT AUTHORITIES TOOL: UPGARDED MPPM COUTRY LEVEL SEMINARS Korea Maritime Institute UN/ESCAP Maritime Policy Planning Model (MPPM) DEVELOPED IN 1992 by UV/ESCAP 3 SUB-REGION STUDIES : ASEAN(1992), SOUTH ASIA(1993), EAST ASIA(1994) 1 INTRA REGIONAL STUDY (1997) REGIONAL SHIPPING AND PORT DEVELOPMENT STUDY (2001) Korea Maritime Institute MODULES OF MPPM Korea Maritime Institute Trade Module Liner Shipping Network Module Port Strategic Planning Module CIY Port Data Prior trade history Port share Routes Service details Vessel description Port usage data Port facility Fleet required Vessel calls at ports Port throughputs Port capacity required Port-to-port cargo flows Input Output UPGRADE MPPM ORIGINAL MPPM - BASED ON DOS SYSTEM - RESTRICTED NUMBER OF PORT AND T/S HUB - DIFFICULT TO USE UPGRADED MPPM - WINDOW VERSION - USER FRIENDLINESS - POSSIBLE INLAND TRASPORTATION SYSTEM EXPANSION KOREAN GOV’T FINANCES MODEL UPGRADE Korea Maritime Institute POSSIBLE BENEFICIARIES PORT PLANNER/GOVERNMENT FOMULATING REALISTIC STRATEGIES IN DEVELOPING PORT FACILITIES