公路经济效益综合评价总结.doc

摘要 本文在系统分析公路交通系统与社会、经济、自然环境等因素相互作用的基础上，建立了公路建设项目社会效益评价指标体系，并针对各单项指标具体情况了作了详细分析，为单指标评价指明了方向。运用改进层次分析与模糊评价相结合的办法建立了综合评价模型。在评价指标属性值的计算以及无量纲化问题上进行了研究，并对评价指标的权重进行了探讨。应用改进川Ip法与模糊聚类相结合的方法确定了指标相对重要度权重，通过专家打分，运用集值统计原理计算出指标可靠度权重。对于评价结果考虑到最大隶属度原则，损失信息较多，可能导致有效度不高，作者提出了最大隶属有效度检验原则。为了使得评价模型简单化、实用化，作者采用Visual Basic 6.0对评价模型进行了系统编程，形成适合本文评价模型的社会效益评价软件。 结合“沧州市环渤海典型公路社会效益”课题，进行了实证研究，验证了本文评价理论与方法的可行性。也验证了社会效益评价软件的实用性和可操作性。 关键词: 公路建设项目社会效益评价指标模糊评价权重益综合评价 Abstract Based on systematicaly analysised reciprocity between hi沙way trafic system and society, economic, environment, the thesis constructed social benefit evaluation indexes system of highway construction project. In alusion to circumstance of every index, this paper detailedly analysised it.thus it will direct the single index evaluation. This article used refor mative AHP and fuzzy evaluation method to create synthesis evaluation model. It studied calculating of index value and zero dimension of index. This paper also discussed the caculating of index weight.Tbe thesis adopted reformative AHP and fuzzy clustering method to calculate relatively important degree weight of index. Through specialist's grade, this article use principle of colecting value counts to calculate reliable degree weights. Considered the maximum subordination principle would lost too many information, the author put forward the validity of the maximum subordination principle. In order to make evaluation model simple and practicality, the author adopted Visual Basic 6.0 to create the software of the social benefit evaluation. Finaly, the paper e创ored an example, the social benefit of Can沙ou typical highway which around Bohai sea. It demonstrated the validity of evaluation model and the efectiveness of the software. Keywords: Highway Construction Project, Fuzzy Evaluation， Weight Social Benefit, Evaluation Index, 第1章概述 1.1 选题背景与意义 公路作为一种交通基础设施，为社会提供便捷、安全、运行舒适的交通条件，并以其独特的功能对现代社会的经济发展和运行产生了深刻而广泛的影响。近几年来，国家加大了在公路建设项目上的投资，以期为我国经济和社会的快速发展提供