Software Risk Management Overview and Recent Developments软件风险管理概述和最近的事态发展.pptVIP

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Software Risk Management Overview and Recent Developments软件风险管理概述和最近的事态发展.ppt

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Software Risk Management Overview and Recent Developments软件风险管理概述和最近的事态发展

10/14/05 ?USC-CSE Software Risk Management :Overview and Recent Developments Barry Boehm, USC CS 510, CS 577a Fall,2005 (boehm@) () Outline What is Software Risk Management? What can it help you do? When should you do it? How should you do it? What are its new trends and opportunities? Conclusions Top-10 Risk Survey Is This A Risk? We just started integrating the software and we found out that COTS* products A and B just can’t talk to each other We’ve got too much tied into A and B to change Our best solution is to build wrappers around A and B to get them to talk via CORBA** This will take 3 months and $300K It will also delay integration and delivery by at least 3 months *COTS: Commercial off-the-shelf **CORBA: Common Object Request Broker Architecture Is This A Risk? We just started integrating the software and we found out that COTS* products A and B just can’t talk to each other We’ve got too much tied into A and B to change ******* No, it is a problem Being dealt with reactively Risks involve uncertainties And can be dealt with pro-actively Earlier, this problem was a risk Earlier, This Problem Was A Risk A and B are our strongest COTS choices But there is some chance that they can’t talk to each other Probability of loss P(L) If we commit to using A and B And we find out in integration that they can’t talk to each other We’ll add more cost and delay delivery by at least 3 months Size of loss S(L) We have a risk exposure of RE = P(L) * S(L) How Can Risk Management Help You Deal With Risks? Buying information Risk avoidance Risk transfer Risk reduction Risk acceptance Risk Management Strategies:Buying Information Let’s spend $30K and 2 weeks prototyping the integration of A and B This will buy information on the magnitude of P(L) and S(L) If RE = P(L) * S(L) is small, we’ll accept and monitor the risk If RE is large, we’ll use one/some of the other strategies Other Risk Management Strategies Risk Avoidance COTS product C is almost as good as B, and