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Missile Defense- Winning Mind Not Heads Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
M
ISSILE DEFENSE IS A COM-
plex and often misunder-
stood subject that tends to
evoke strong emotional re-
sponses, and many continue to feel
that missile defense poses a serious
risk to international security. Never-
theless, there has been a surprising
international movement toward sup-
porting and cooperating with the
Bush administration’s global missile
defense (GMD) project.
Earlier versions of missile defense
maintained the distinction between
national missile defense (NMD) and JO
H
N
S
LA
TE
R
/C
O
R
B
IS
48 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists September/October 2004
The U.S. plan to build a global
missile defense has been gaining
international support, but not
because other governments believe it
will make their countries safer.
MISSILE DEFENSE:
WINNING MIND
NOT HEA
by Nicole C. Evans
theater defenses. NMD is an anti-
ballistic missile defense system that
provides protection for a country as
a whole against ballistic missile at-
tack. Theater defenses provide pro-
tection in a theater of operation,
countering missiles with a range of
less than 3,500 kilometers. The dis-
tinction is important because na-
tional defenses may undermine
strategic stability by threatening the
ability of other countries to retali-
ate, which is the core of their deter-
rence. Theater defenses do not pose
this danger.
George W. Bush’s administration
has changed all this, though, severely
complicating an already intricate sit-
uation. Since 2002, Bush’s version of
global missile defense has effectively
collapsed national and theater de-
fenses together by envisaging the pro-
tection of the American “homeland”
with NMD and the protection of
American troops, bases, and allies
abroad with theater missile defenses
(TMD). Long-term American missile
defense plans envision a layered sys-
tem using land, sea, and air plat-
forms to neutralize incoming mis-
siles. The result has been to create a
definitional and policy haze.
Countries that once supported
only theater defenses now find
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