基于层次-模糊评价法的山区油气管道地质灾害易发性研究.pdfVIP

第 8卷第5 期 2012 年 5 月 中国安全生产科学技术 Joumal of Safety Science and Techno!ogy 文章编号: 1673 -193X(2012) -05-∞52 -06 基于层次-模糊评价法的山区油气管道 地质灾害易发性研究* 辜冬梅1 ，姚安林1 ，尹旭东2 ，蒋宏业1 ，李又绿1 (1.西南石油大学，成都 6105∞) (2. 中国石油西气东输管道公司，上海 2∞122) Vol. 8 No.5 May 2012 摘 要:针对山区油气管道地质灾害的基本特征，将层次分析与模糊综合评价相结合，建立起可用 于山区管道地质灾害易发性评价的层次-模糊评价模型;并从自然因素、管道敷设状况、灾害活动 和设计与误操作四个方面建立山区油气管道地质灾害易发性评价体系。首先依据专家经验构造 各层影响因素的判断矩阵，并利用层次分析法求出各影响因素的权重集，然后对山区油气管道地 质灾害易发性进行多级模糊综合评价，巅终根据评价结果确定山区油气管道地质灾害易发性等 级。通过具体实例检验了本文所建立评价方法的应用效果。 关键词:油气管道:山区;地质灾害;易发性z 层次-模糊评价 中团分类号:X913.4 文献稼i只码 :A Study on occurrence of geological hazards for oU and g描 pipelin四 through the mountains b描ed on AHP-fuzzy evaluation GU Dong-mei ? YAO An-lin , YIN Xu-dong 2 , JIANG Hong-ye ? U You-Iv l (1. Southw副 Petroleum University, Chengdu 6105∞，P. R. China) (2. PetroChina W耐-to-E斟t G国Pipeline Company , Shanghai 2ω122 ， China) Abstract: Aiming at the basic characteristics of geological hazards for oil and gas pipelines through the mountains. AHP(an中ic hierarchy process) was combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and the AHP-fuzzy model used to evaluate the 创沈阳ence of geolog?cal hazards for oil and 伊 pipelínes through the mountains w，凶 estahlished in this article. ?ased on four aspects of natural facto罚. pipe Iaying conditions. hazard activities , design and incorrect operations. the evaluation system of ∞currence of geological hazards for oil and 伊s pipelines through the mountains W凶 built. Firsùy , based on many expe巾· experience , the matrix of each layer s influence factors w臼 set up. and the weight set of each factor W8S calcu!ated hy AHP. Then the occurrence of geological hazards of oil and gas pipe- lines through the mountains was evaluated hased on the AHP-fuZZY evaIuation. Finally according to the evaluation results. the level ofωcurrence of geological hazards of oil and gas pipe!ines through the mountains ∞uld he deter- mined. The application effect of the evaluation method estahlished in this arlicle was proved by practical exam