农业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩效应分析——以重庆市为例.pdfVIP

福建农林大学学报{哲学社会科学版) ,2014 , 17(6) :38 -42 Joumal of Fuji8ll Agriculture 时Forestry University (PhilO8Ophy 8Ild soc凶Sciences) 农业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩效应分析 一一以重庆市为例 洪业应 (重庆市洛陵区委党校，重庆408α凯西藏昌都地委党校，西藏昌都 854α)()) [摘要] 农业经济增长对资源所产生依赖的变化趋势及农业发展与资源环境的关系日渐引起学术界的广泛关注。以重庆 市 1归8 -2012 年农业生产资料投入数据为基础，根据肌C 提出的破转化系数计算方法，探讨了农业制陆与经济增长的 关系并进行了脱钩效应分析。结果表明:从时间上看，34 年来重庆市农业破排放总量年均增长率为 3.53% ，化肥施用和农 业灌溉是农业破排放的主要来源。在区裁微观层面上，农业投入产生的农业破排放与经济场长之间呈现出坏珑库兹涅茨 曲线趋势特征。从脱钩分析来看，农业破排放与经济增长之间以强负脱钧、弱脱钩为主要特征。 [关键词] 经济增长;农业破排放;脱钩弹性;重庆市 [中固分类号] 目23 [文献标识码] A [文章编号] 1671 -6归2(2014)侃拍，38-05 Decoupling of agriculture carbon emissions and 优:onomic growth 一-Taking Chongqing Municipality 幽 aωse HONG Ye-ying ( 1. Party Schωl ， Fuling District Commit阳 ofCOO咱qil啄 Mun坤ality ， COO暗q叼408棚， Chinaj 2. Party ScOOol , Cha咱也丹电fωure Comm即e of11必et Al山1101710ω Region ， C阳咱也， Tibet 854α泪， China) Abs位act: The tendency of agricultural 仅:onomic growth depending on resourωs and the relationship between agricultural develop- ment and resource environment have been paid more attention. Making use of 由e data about agricultural production materials input in Chongqi吨 Municipality from 1归8ω2012 皿d with 也e carbon conversion c侃fficients calculation method put forw时by IPCC , 也e relationship betw优n agriculture carbon emissions and economic growth is invωtigated and 也.e d锐。upli吨effect is analyzed. The ωtal agriculture carbon emission increased by 3.53% on average annually in Cho吨φ吨 Munici归lity in 也e 归8t 34 ye脯， from fer- tilizer and irrigation. 白lere are features of the environmental Kuznets curv锦 between agricultureωrbon emissions and e∞，nomic growth. Meanwhile , there are signifiωnt negative decoupling and insignificant decoupli吨 between agriculture carbon emissions and economic grow也. Key wor由:ec∞o