临盆率增加之谜（国外英文资料）.docVIP

生产率增长之谜（国外英文资料） The mystery of productivity growth The miracle of productivity growth is no better than that of Americas corn belt. 100 years ago, a group of farmers hard work, the output is only 30 bushels per acre, now, just a few people can be in the same 160 bushels of yields an acre of land. The rise of modern civilization is based on the increasing trend of per capita output. For the past 120 years, human beings seem to be following certain laws of inevitability, with per capita output rising by about 2 per cent per year. But things seem to have changed in the last decade or so. Robert e. Robert of Northwestern University Some trusted economists, such as Robert Gordon, worry that 2% is not a rule, but a phase that is approaching the end. According to Gordons analysis, the 2% growth rate over the next 120 years could easily turn into 1% or even lower. The us federal reserve is already lowering its forecast for long-term interest rates. Fed chair janet yellen? (Janet yellen Yellen) in its most recent a news conference, said: the most likely reason is that related to longer-term growth forecasts... some fallen slightly. But there are tech optimists, such as Eric holder of the Massachusetts institute of technology. Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew? Andrew McAfee, they are so confident about the new findings that they expect growth to accelerate, not decline. There is some more implicative economists, they answer is not so exciting, and the historical average difference, they think that per capita output growth will be slightly less than 2%. Productivity problems are likely to have the most significant consequences for the us economy, involving everything from when to raise interest rates and when to stop raising interest rates. From the sustainability of us debt, to what is the wisest investment grade for us companies. The answer depends on companies such as Climate Corporation. The company is moving from the new frontier, the silicon valley office building, to the f