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判断与决策过程中的生态理性与社会理性(国外英文资料)
判断与决策过程中的生态理性与社会理性(国外英文资料)
The ecological rationality and social reason in the decision-making process
Abstract: judgment and decision play an important role in management practice
The basic process of decision making. Traditional economics assumes that people are completely rational in their judgments and decisions, but
This is not the case in real decisions. The article reviews Simons finite reason and Kahnemans
Based on the intuitions and biases of Tversky, the ecological rationality and social reasoning in decision-making and judgment are analyzed
Sex.
Key words: decision making; Judgment; Bounded rationality; Ecological rationality; The social reason
The expected utility theory assumes that decision makers have complete information about the outcome of each alternative and its probability,
The ability to fully understand this information and to be able to compare the results of the various results is the one that makes it the most effective
Change of plan. But in reality, policymakers rarely follow the constraints of inner and outer constraints
The expected utility theory is a decision. The expected utility theory is a perfectly standardized decision model,
But the actual judgment and decision making process cannot be described. The first part of this article describes the process of judgment and decision making:
The second part reviews the judgment and decision theory based on Simons limited rationality; The third part analyzes the judgment
Ecological rationality in the decision-making process; The fourth part analyzes the social reason in the decision-making process.
Judgment and decision making process
Hasie (2001) points out that the core issue of judging and decision theory is how do people based their wishes
The Courses of Action are the beliefs. The actions
A case is a choice of action space; Faith refers to the assurance of information about various objective states
The external uncertainty of the probability of the occurrence of an event, the judgment
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