FDI和对外贸易对中国经济影响的空间面板模型分析FDI和对外贸易对中国经济影响的空间面板模型分析.pdfVIP

Statistics and Application 统计学与应用, 2016, 5(4), 321-327 Published Online December 2016 in Hans. /journal/sa /10.12677/sa.2016.54033 The Analysis of Spatial Panel Model about FDI and Foreign Trade Effect on the Chinese Provincial Economy Dan Yang1*, Huiguo Zhang, Xijian Hu# College of Mathematics and System Sciences, Xinjiang University, Urumqi Xinjiang th th th Received: Nov. 12 , 2016; accepted: Dec. 5 , 2016; published: Dec. 12 , 2016 Copyright © 2016 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access Abstract This paper selected statistics of 30 provinces in China (except Tibet) from 1997 to 2012, and stu- died the spare effect on Chinese provincial economic growth of FDI and foreign trade by the use of spatial panel model. The empirical results show that the economic impact between FDI and for- eign trade is obviously different. The increasing of FDI is promoting both provincial and neigh- boring economic development, while the increasing of foreign trade seems to promote provincial economy but not neighboring. Keywords FDI, Foreign Trade, Spatial Panel Model, Spatial Spillover Effect, Economic Growth FDI和对外贸易对中国经济影响的 空间面板模型分析 * # 杨 丹 ，张辉国，胡锡健 新疆大学数学与系统科学学院，新疆 乌鲁木齐 *第一作者。 #通讯作者。 文章引用: 杨丹, 张辉国, 胡锡健. FDI 和对外贸易对中国经济影响的空间面板模型分析[J]. 统计学与应用, 2016, 5(4): 321-327. /10.12677/sa.2016.54033 杨丹 等 收稿日期：2016年11月12 日；录用日期：2016年12月5 日；发布日期：2016年12月12 日 摘 要 本文选取1997~2012年中国30个省(除西藏)统计数据，利用空间面板模型，研究外商直接投资(FDI)和 对外贸易对中国省级经济增长的空间效应。实证结果表明，FDI