尾矿坝漫顶溃坝事故树分析-JournalofNortheasternUniversity.PDFVIP

第31卷第6期 东 北 大 学 学 报 ( 自 然 科 学 版 ) Vol131,No.6 2010 年 6 月 Journal of Northeastern niversity( Natural Science) Jun. 2 0 10 魏 勇, 许开立, 郑 欣 ( , 110004) : , # , : # 54 , ; 4 ; , # : ; ; ;; : X 928.03 : A : 1005-3026(2010) 06-0890-04 Fault Tree Analysis of Tailing Dam Break Due to Overtopping WEI Yong , X U K ai-li, ZH EN G X in ( School of Resources Civil Engineering, Northeastern niversity, Shenyang 110004, China. Correspondent: WEI Yong, E-mail: weiyon@ sina. com) Abstract: Based on several typical cases of tailing dam break during flood periods, the basic events relevant to the accidents of tailing dam break due to overtopping were clarified and generalized, such as seismic intensity beyond the designed value and ineffective flood discharging measures taken. The accidents of tailing dam break due to overtopping were studied introducing fault tree analysis including minimum cut sets, minimum path sets and structural importance. T he results showed that the number of minimum cut sets that causes the accidents of tailing dam break due to overtopping is 54, thus revealing that such accidents are easy to take place; the number of minimum path sets that implies the prevention of such accidents is 4; and the calculated structural importance of relevant basic events means that hidden danger, poor design and inferior construction of dam, lack of routine maintenance and poor geological conditions, etc, all are crucial to the control and prevention of such accidents especially during flood periods. Key words: tailing dam; overtopping; dam break; fault t