[工程科技]中国建筑业2011回顾与2012展望.pdfVIP

China Construction Industry 2011 Review and 2012 Outlook 20 years old construction industry experience in 2012 is still valid? The authors view is more pessimistic. Rely on Chinas investment-led economic model has been forced to brake when the construction industry will be injured. Inflationary pressures, adjust the structure of the pressure and the pressure of the low-carbon economy, and ultimately unsustainable existing models. Chinas economic policy to the dilemma, and more full beauty of its policy has been difficult to design and policy reform and implementation of the environment is extremely optimistic and too difficult to balance the interests of various interest groups, the means and the ability of the government therefore can not have high hopes. The real estate industry will continue to deteriorate, can not be pinned their hopes on a government bailout. Stability and political front, bundled with the interests of local governments and the banks real estate or small. The government also can not be optimistic about the situation of investment projects, more than 10 trillion debt in local platform, and has already become one of the Chinese economy is the biggest source of the pressure, compression and control is the trend further easing has been difficult. Chinese construction enterprises entrepreneurs met near the most important test in the past 20 years. Funding of projects under construction, new access project risk assessment must be taken seriously to deal with. From the cast of the real estate projects will become a financial black hole, timely withdraw, to be more conservative 1 / 69 considerations. 2012 a difficult situation