世界黄金年鉴2012更新报告.pdf

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世界黄金年鉴2012更新报告.pdf

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GOLD SURVEY 2012 UPDATE 2 GOLD SURVEY 2012 UPDATE 2 BY: Philip Klapwijk, Global Head of Metals Analytics Neil Meader, Head of Precious Metals Research Forecasts Philip Newman, Research Director William Tankard, Research Director Peter Ryan, Senior Analyst Cameron Alexander, Senior Analyst Rhona O’Connell, Senior Analyst Junlu Liang, Senior Analyst Marcin Szczypka, Senior Analyst Matthew Piggott, Analyst George Coles, Analyst Saida Litosh, Analyst Sudheesh Nambiath, Analyst CONSULTANTS OTHER CONTRIBUTORS: Emma Hastings Vitaly Borisovich Jadwiga Zajac PUBLISHED JANUARY 2013 BY THOMSON REUTERS GFMS The Thomson Reuters Building, 30 South Colonnade London, E14 5EP, UK Switchboard: +44 (0) 207 250 1122 Direct: +44 (0) 207 542 1682 E-mail: jadwiga.zajac@ Web: www.gfms.co.uk TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Summary and Price Outlook 5 Supply 6 Demand 6 Market Outlook 7 2. Gold Prices in 2012 8 Price Outlook 10 3. Investment 11 Implied Net Investment 12 Investment in Exchange Listed Structured Products 13 Exchange Traded Funds 13 Commodities Exchange Activity 13 Over-the-Counter Market 15 Physical Bar Investment 15 Ofﬁcial Coin Sales and Fabrication 17 Medals and Imitation Coins 17 4. Supply 18 Mine Production 18 Production Costs 22 Producer Hedging 23 Ofﬁcial Sector 24 Scrap Supply 27 5. Fabrication Demand 29 Europe 29 North America 31 Middle East 32 Indian Sub-Continent 34 East Asia 35 6. Price Appendix