modelling the impact of oil prices on vietnam’s stock prices【外文】：造型的影响，石油价格上涨对越南的股票价格【外文】.pdf

Applied Energy 87 (2010) 356–361 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Applied Energy journal homepage: /locate/apenergy Modelling the impact of oil prices on Vietnam’s stock prices Paresh Kumar Narayan a,*, Seema Narayan b a School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Deakin University, Victoria 3125, Australia b School of Economics, Finance and Marketing, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology University, Melbourne, Australia a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: The goal of this paper is to model the impact of oil prices on Vietnam’s stock prices. We use daily data for Received 1 February 2009 the period 2000–2008 and include the nominal exchange rate as an additional determinant of stock Received in revised form 10 May 2009 prices. We find that stock prices, oil prices and nominal exchange rates are cointegrated, and oil prices Accepted 25 May 2009 have a positive and statistically significant impact on stock prices. This result is inconsistent with theo- Available online 27 June 2009 retical expectations. The growth of the Vietnamese stock market was accompanied by rising oil prices. However, the boom of the stock market was marked by increasing foreign portfolio investment inflows Keywords: which are estimated to have doubled from US$0.9 billion in 2005 to US$1.9 billion in 2006. There was also Vietnam