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企业汇率套期保值策略分析-analysis of enterprise exchange rate hedging strategy
instantTheoryofInternationalIndebtedness、TheoryofPurchasingPowerParity、TheoryofInterestRateParity、BalanceofPaymentTheoryofExchangeRate.Thirdchapteritelaboratestheprincipalofhedge,thechoiceofhedgeaspect,basisriskandeventhemainreasonofinfluencetheextensionofhedge.Fourthchapteritanalysesthefluctuationreasonofshort-termexchangerateintermsofpolity,currencyandeconomic.Italsoadoptsregularanalysismethodonthebasisoftheoriesofdecisiononexchangerate.FifthchapteritselectsweeklyclosingpriceofInternationalMonetaryMarket(includingexchangemarket,futuresmarket,commoditymarketandbondsmarket)between1.1,2005and12.31,2009.andmaineconomicdatapublishedbyUSAgovernment.Italsodemonstratesthereasonofshort-termfluctuationintermsofInterestrate、CPI、TradeBalance、GDP、UnemploymentRate、、Internationalgoldprice、Internationalcrudeprice,USstockindex,VIXindex.Sixthchapteritputsforwardpolicyadvicefortheenterpriseswhichcarryouthedgeonbasisofdemonstration.Thecreationofthisarticleliesontwopoints.Firstitregardscurrencyasstockpublishedbygovernment,analysesbyusingweeklyclosingpricedata,fixupthepricethroughthemoldofmicro-fixedpriceandexplainsthereasonoffluctuationofexchangerateandtheinfluenceonenterprisescausebyfluctuationofexchangerate.NextisbuildupTendency-fixedpriceModel.,setupafullsetofriskandhedgemanagementmethodsandputforwarddetailedpolicyrecommendationandriskmanagementmethods.Soastodirectdomesticimportandexportenterprisestodothehedge,avoidexchangeriskandreducethecostresultedbyexchangeratedriftandincreasetheprofitatlast.Astheresearchrevealed,thechiefreasonsofLoss-generating`enterprisesareineffectiveriskcontrolmechanism,existflukemind,humanresourceprocessionlaggingandirregulartrademarketofexchangeratederivative.Ifwewanttocontroltheexchangeraterisk,weshouldsetupasystematicexchangeratehedgestrategy,establishaperfectmechanismofrisksupervision,buildupaqualifiedrecruitmentplan,cultivateprofessionals,understandthepurposesoftradeandavoidcomplicatedderivationtools.Keywords:importandexportenterprise,exchangeraterisk
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