2015_Global_Modeled_Catastrophe_Losses英文.pdf

2015 Global Modeled Catastrophe Losses September 2015 2015 Global Modeled Catastrophe Losses Copyright © 2015 AIR Worldwide. All rights reserved. Information in this document is subject to change without notice. No part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form, for any purpose, without the express written permission of AIR Worldwide (AIR). Trademarks AIR Worldwide and Touchstone are registered trademarks of AIR Worldwide Corporation. Confidentiality AIR invests substantial resources in the development of its models, modeling methodologies, and databases. This document contains proprietary and confidential information and is intended for the exclusive use of AIR clients who are subject to the restrictions of the confidentiality provisions set forth in license and other nondisclosure agreements. Contact Information If you have any questions regarding this document, contact: AIR Worldwide 131 Dartmouth Street Boston, MA 02116-5134 USA Tel: (617) 267-6645 Fax: (617) 267-8284 2 2015 Global Modeled Catastrophe Losses Executive Summary Since 2012, AIR Worldwide (AIR) has published an annual white paper discussing how AIR’s global industry exceedance probability (EP) curve can be used to obtain a comprehensive and meaningful view of potential losses and to put into context years with high insured losses (such as 2011).1 This paper, the 2015 update, bases its global loss metrics on AIR’s latest suite of models, including new models and updates released during 2015, as well as updated industry exposure databases (IEDs). Unique to the 2015 report is AIR’s presentation of glo