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西安市-空气质量研究论文
摘 要
本文对天西安市的空气质量进行了深入的研究。运用综合指数评价法和回归分析等方法对其空气质量进行了分析，综合各种因素建立了以下所述几种模型，并结合统计学方法，利用SPSS软件和EXCEL进行模型的求解。
1、首先对2007-2013年的空气污染指数和空气质量状况进行了分析，采用了综合指数评价法分析了最主要的空气污染物质，并计算出它们的污染指数。分别使用空气污染指数（API）（旧标准）和环境空气质量指数（AQI）对西安市的空气质量进行评价（新标准），并对评价结果进行对比、分析；
2.运用线性相关法，分析了工业污染、民用采暖和扬尘对空气质量不同程度上的影响；
3、分别运用指数平滑法、SPSS回归分析法对西安过去近一个月的主要污染物浓度变化情况进行多种模型拟合分析，对未来一周（取2013年4月30日至5月6日）西安市空气质量状况进行了预测；
4、经过严格的计算论证和分析，针对西安市主要的环境污染因素和检测控制评价标准方面的缺陷和不足提出了一些切实可行的建议。
[关键词] 综合指数评价 指数平滑法 回归分析
线性相关 主要污染物 建议
目 录
一、问题重述·······················································1
1.1 背景介绍···················································1
1.2 政策支持···················································1
1.3 需要解决的问题·············································2
二、问题分析························································2
三、建模过程························································4
3.1 问题一·····················································4
3.1.1 模型一················································4
1.模型假设 ·············································4
2.定义符号说明··········································4
3.模型建立··············································5
4.模型求解（API指数法）·································6
5.结果分析··············································8
3.1.2 模型二················································8
1.模型假设 ·············································8
2.定义符号说明··········································9
3.模型建立··············································9
4.模型求解（AQI指数法）·································9
5.结果分析·············································10
3.2 问题二····················································11
3.2.1 工业污染因素分析·······································11
3.2.2 民用采暖因素分析·······································14
3.2.3 扬尘
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