毕业论文设计《回归分析在变形监测数据处理中的应用研究》.docVIP

PAGE 毕业论文 毕 业 论 文 题 目 回归分析在变形监测数据处理中的应用研究 学院专业班级 学 生 姓 名 性别 指 导 教 师 职称 2012年 6 月 15 日 PAGE I 摘要 随着人类社会的进步和国民经济的快速发展，工程建设的进程日益加快，这对工程建筑物的规模、造型、难度提出了越来越高的要求，大型建筑物或构筑物的安危直接关系到国民经济的生产进程。因此，对大型建筑物或构筑物进行变形监测并对监测数据进行分析处理显得尤为重要。 目前，常用的变形监测数据处理方法有回归分析法、时间序列分析法、灰色系统分析法等。而回归分析法是在掌握大量观测数据的基础上，利用数理统计的方法建立自变量和因变量之间的回归关系，并通过回归模型进行预测和预报，对建筑物或构筑物的变形监测有着至关重要的作用。 本文在阅读大量文献资料的基础上，首先阐述总结了变形监测的定义、目的和意义，国内外监测技术发展概况和变形监测数据处理常用处理方法等；其次较系统的阐述了回归分析法的基本原理，接着说明了回归方程的建立，回归方程的显著性和回归系数的显著性，最后结合实例数据处理分析，并通过预测值和真实值的曲线图以及残差曲线图，说明回归分析在变形监测数据处理中的应用是可行的。 关键词：变形监测；数据处理；回归分析 PAGE II Abstract With the progress of human society and the rapid development of economy, the construction process has been accelerated. The scale of engineering structures, modeling, the difficulty in an increasingly high demand. Large buildings or structures of safety directly related to the production process of national economy. Therefore, the deformation monitoring for the large-scale building or structure and analysis of monitoring data are become particularly important. At present, the common data-processing methods of the deformation are regression analysis, time series analysis, and the method of gray system analysis. Also, regression analysis is based on grasping lots of observational data, using mathematical statistics method to establish the regression relationships between dependent and independent variables, and through the regression model to forecast, which has an important role to buildings or structures. Based on lots of the documents and materials, firstly this article describes the definition, the purpose and the significance of the deformation monitoring and the monitoring technology and methods of data processing at home and abroad. Secondly, the research expounds the basic principles of the regression analysis, and then explains the establishment of regression equation,