中国货币政策的环境分析.docVIP

中国货币政策环境分析 　　上海财经大学国际工商管理学院 　　摘要：文章讨论了在当前中国央行面临的货币政策环境,从多方面考察了货币政策环境，并在最后给出应当采取的政策建议。 　　关键词：金融警察通货膨胀政策环境 　　Abstract:This passage talked about the monetary policy circumstance of China,and examined the circumstance through different aspects.Than,the passage gives a suggestion that on monetary policy to Chinese central bank. 　　Key words:Monetary policeinflation policy environment 　　Recently,people are becoming more and more concerned about the fact that the central bank continues to withdraw liquidity under the expectations of inflation.It is widely expected that the time window of raising the interest rate again by the central bank is drawing near.People in the stock market are frightened by the rumor that most organizations in the current are going to increase the intensity to withdraw the fund in the case of lack of liquidity.It becomes the focus of the public opinions when the bail-out policy that is carried out since 08 subprime-crises have broken out should withdraw from the market. 　　Recently,Chinese Central Bank raised the interest rate by 0.25%.The capital market participants generally judged that this reflected the central banks worry about the inflation.The control of the circulation showed that,at least,the central bank will continue to withdraw liquidity in the short term in the case that the expectation of inflation is coming. 　　In 2008,the sub-prime crisis broke out in theU.S.Its influence has spread rapidly from the heart to entire capitalist world.And Chinas Export-led Growth Model decided that we also be involved in the crisis.From the figures that National Bureau of Statistics has published,the GDP growth in the full year of 2007 was around 14.2% and fell sharply to 9.6% in 2008,and 8.7% in 2009.The total export is 1.2 trillion U.S.dollars in 2007,which has increased 25% over the previous year.In 2008,its about 1.4307 trillion U.S.dollars with an increase of 17%,which is less than before.And the total export was 1.2017 trillion U.S.dollars