城市给水管网事故分析及评价研究-市政工程专业论文.docx

Classified Index: TU991.33 U.D.C: 628.1 Dissertation for the Master Degree in Engineering STUDY ON EMERGENCY ANALYSIS AND ASSESSMENT FOR URBAN WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM Candidate: Ning Ran Supervisor: Prof. Yuan Yixing Academic Degree Applied for: Master of Engineering Speciality: Municipal Engineering Affiliation: School of Munici. Envir. Eng. Date of Defence: June, 2006 Degree-Conferring-Institution: Harbin Institute of Technology 摘 要 城市给水管网是城市重要的基础设施之一，给水管网事故直接威胁着城 市公共安全。全面系统地掌握给水管网事故状态下的运行状况，了解管网事 故影响的严重程度，是减少给水管网事故，加强给水管网安全可靠性的重要 课题。 本课题以给水管网微观动态模型为基础，结合哈尔滨市道里区和道外区 给水管网，详细介绍了给水管网微观建模过程，系统分析了管网现状。 本文结合算例对事故状态下的管网进行水力计算分析。由于事故发生 后，整个管网的拓扑结构发生了较大改变，管网中部分节点压力偏低，从而 影响节点用水量。本文采用低压时管网水力计算方法，在计算过程中充分考 虑了节点水压对节点流量的影响，使计算结果更接近事故状态下管网的真实 运行状态。同时，将管网正常时、事故时及关阀后三种状态的运行参数进行 对比，确定事故对管网正常运行的影响。该项工作使管理者能够更清晰地了 解管网事故状态下的工作状况，掌握管网的动态运行规律，为接下来的事故 评价提供了前提，是准确、高效处理事故，尽可能减少事故影响的保障。 由于事故影响程度具有一定的模糊性，本文引入了模糊数学中的模糊综 合评判方法及理论，提出建立给水管网事故评价体系的概念，形成了以给水 管网微观模型为基础，以管网事故状态水力计算分析为依据的给水管网事故 影响模糊评价方法。最后，编写了事故影响评价程序，结合算例管网进行试 算，并最终将该程序应用到哈尔滨市道里、道外两区的管网事故影响评价 中。得到的结论对这两区管网今后的运行调度、改扩建及日常监测、检修与 维护有巨大的指导意义。 关键词 给水管网；模糊评判；管网建模；水力分析；事故评价 Abstract Water network is one of the important infrastructures in city, and its emergency directly threatens urban public safety. Comprehensively and systematically acquiring the state of water network operation in emergency, in conjunction with understanding of the seriousness of the emergency in every part of the water network, is an important topic to reduce the accidents and strengthen the reliability of water supply system security. All the work of the subject was on the basis of microscope model of the water supply system. Combining with the actual drinking pipe network of Daoli and Daowai districts in Harbin, the paper introduced the establishment process of microscope model of water supply system, and conducted the status analysis based on water distribution model. In combination with calculation cases, a hydraulic calculation analysis of status in