房地产价格波动对通货膨胀的传导机制分析-区域经济学专业论文.docxVIP

Abstract To realize the price stability is one of the main goals of macro-control. Nowadays, China is facing the problem of constant price increase. We know that high inflation could not only destroy the economic development, but also influence the social stability. Meanwhile, the real state market has witnessed a lot of development since 1998 in China, when it progressively becomes market-orient. But after years of development of housing market, problems occur, and the risk of Bubble Real State grows, which will definitely affect the whole financial system and social economics. Therefore, to control housing price and inflation, these become the focus of macro-control in China, which can be seen from a lot of macro-control policies. Based on a massive 1iterature research, the paper chooses studying on the transmission mechanism of housing prices affecting inflation, instead of their correlation, because to straighten out their transmission mechanism has more academic and realistic meanings, not only to fill the blank of the relative academic research results, but also to offer more help to the policy makers. The structure of the paper is as follows. Firstly, through theoretical analysis, this paper introduces the inflation theory and housing price theory．Secondly，to study further，it finds out the pathway of the interaction of the two, that is, their transmission mechanism, as well as building the pathway models, and speculates the relationship of their two by using the general method of statistical analysis. Finally，according to the data analysis and metro economic model, we get the relationship of the inflation and housing price, and by using the conclusions of theoretical and empirical analysis，give the relating policy suggestions to prevent the asset bubble and inflation at the end of this paper. Key words: fluctuations of housing price; inflation; transmission mechanism 目 录 摘 要.....................................................................................