出口贸易对中国收入差距的影响分析-世界经济专业论文.docxVIP

摘要 中国，随着改革开放三十多年的经济快速发展，取得的巨大成就 让世界瞩目。然而在经济创造奇迹的同时，收入差距也呈现不断扩大 的趋势。由于收入差距是社会稳定的一个重要组成部分，所以研究收 入差距扩大的原因并针对其制定出相关政策具有非常重要的现实意 义。 本文的核心论点为出口贸易是造成地区收入差距与城乡收入差 距扩大的原因之一，并指出政府对沿海地区的倾斜性政策加剧了地区 之间的非均衡发展。本文首先对贸易影响收入分配的相关理论进行归 纳总结，从传统的贸易理论到新发展理论的代表学说，旨在从理论上 分析我国出口贸易对地区收入差距以及城乡收入差距影响的途径；通 过对我国出口贸易、地区收入差距、城乡收入差距的发展趋势的描述 以及数据的佐证，并运用到计量模型中进行实证研究，通过协整分析 得到出口贸易分别和地区收入差距以及城乡收入差距二者之间都具 有关联性，收入差距随着出口贸易的变化而变化；最后通过格兰杰因 果检验，得到出口贸易促进收入差距扩大的结论，并针对这些结论给 出相应的政策建议。 【关键词】：出口贸易 地区收入差距 城乡收入差距 协整分析 Abstract China, the economic developed fast over thirty years with the reform and opening, the great achievement let the world surprised. However, when the economic made miracle, the income gap also presented the enlarged trend fast. Because of the income gap is an important part of social stability, so the study of why the income gap enlarged and formulate relevant policy for it has very important practical meaning. This article’s main argument is that the export trade is one of the reasons which cause the regional income gap and urban-rural income gap largely, then points out that the inclining policies of government to coastal areas enlarged the non-balanced development between areas. This article firstly summarized the related theories of influence on income distribute from the government, start with the traditional trade theory to new development theory, aim to analyze the influence approach of export trade on regional income gap and urban-rural income gap；Based on describing Chinas export trade, regional income gap and urban-rural income gap with the data of them, then use these measures into the model for empirical research, by the cointegration analysis, we can get that export trade has relevance between regional income gap and urban-rural income gap, the income gap will change when the export trade change; Finally, through to granger causality test, getting the conclusion that export trade can promote income gap, then in the light of these conclusions, the article will give some p