基于Kriging方法的结构可靠性分析及优化设计-工程力学专业论文.docxVIP

摘要行大量结构整体的有限元分析，重要性抽样方法所需要的样本数仍显太多，本章 摘要 行大量结构整体的有限元分析，重要性抽样方法所需要的样本数仍显太多，本章 方法试图利用kriging模拟技术进一步减少重要性抽样方法所需要的样本数，以 达到减少可靠度分析计算量的目的。 第五章以胜利CBl 1F海洋平台为例，分别应用kriging可靠度分析方法和模 拟重要性抽样两种方法进行了结构可靠度计算。首先介绍了影响海洋平台可靠性 的因素，同时对这种特殊的海洋结构的可靠性分析进行了回顾。对于导管架类结 构，由于其极限状态方程很难得到显式表达式，用传统方法求解其可靠度指标时 很难满足计算效率和精度要求。本文给出的这两种方法，在其原有方法的理论基 础上，有效地应用kriging模拟技术，分别对响应面法和重要性抽样方法进行了 改进，使结构可靠度计算的效率得以提高，同时又很好的避免了响应面法和重要 抽样方法所存在的一些局限性。本文的方法为海洋工程这一类大型工程结构的可 靠度分析提供了新的方法，具有一定的工程意义。 关键词： 可靠度分析，结构优化，响应面法，重要性抽样，kriging技术，蒙 特卡洛法，导管架平台。 查垄型三查兰竺：!：兰些堡兰一——．——Abstract 查垄型三查兰竺：!：兰些堡兰一——．—— Abstract This thesis mainly focuses on studying efficient methods for structural reliability analysis and reliability．based optimal design，especially developing a semi+analytical method and a simulated importance sampling method based on Kriging technique for structural reliability analysis．These methods are used in the reliability analysis of all offshore Jacket platform．Also，a new reliability-based optimization method is developed which incorporates both kriging reliability analysis and semi—infinite programming algorithm． In chapter 1，basic concepts and methods for structural reliability analysis are introduced，and traditional methods for reliability—based optimization are surveyed． Finally,a semi-variable interpolation method--kriging is discussed． In chapter 2，a semi—analytical method for reliability analysis is proposed It is based on a semi-parameter interpolation technique，kriging model．At first，general semi-analytical methods are outlined．Response Surface Method(RSM)is often used to construct the limit state function．Due to the restriction of polynomial functions， RSM Can not attain satisfactory accuracy for highly non-linearity problems．To avoid the influencc of different limit state functions，OUr method combines the kriging model with the optimization method and Can calculate the reliability index with good accuracy．Moreover,it could take advantage of some commercial structural analysis SOftware． In chapter 3，a