广西新能源产业发展研究-产业经济学专业论文.docxVIP

摘要 摘要 Ab Abstract 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 万方数据 摘要 能源一直是人类生存和发展的重要物质基础。自人类进入文明时代以来，经济社 会发展几乎全部倚重于以煤炭为主的常规能源。经过数千万年形成的煤炭、石油被一 代代人以发展经济的名义大肆开发，最终导致越来越严重的环境污染和能源短缺。面 对如此严峻的状况，全世界都意识到必须尽快转变原有的能源消费结构，用新能源代 替化石能源解决已经出现的环境污染和能源枯竭。广西也同全国一样，高耗能、重污 染、低效率的常规能源已经无法满足广西经济社会发展，迫切需要发展新能源，并以 此为契机，大力提高自身经济水平。广西拥有较为丰富的可再生能源资源和优越的新 能源发展条件，太阳能，风能以及生物质能等新能源均有待开发。发展新能源产业不 仅有利于保障广西经济发展和人民生活所需的可持续能源供应，促进经济社会和谐可 持续发展，也对实现广西国民经济和社会发展“十二五”以及更长期战略规划目标具 有非常重要的现实意义和战略意义。 本文在对新能源产业理论进行研究的基础上，用 Granger 因果检验和 SWOT 分析 法对广西发展新能源产业的必要性、紧迫性以及客观依据进行分析，并运用灰色预测 模型 GM(1,1)预测了广西经济社会发展对新能源的需求。借鉴国内外新能源产业成功 发展经验，提出广西发展新能源产业的总体思路和主要发展路径以及对策和建议。 关键字：广西； 新能源； 能源产业； 发展路径； 对策建议 I Abstract Energy acts as the major material base for human survival and development. Ever since the civilization era, the development of economic society relies on coal. Coal and oil formed through millions of years have been recklessly exploited in the name of economic development by mankind. It has caused serious environmental pollution and energy shortage. Faced with this severe situation, the whole world has turned their attentions to the new energy, hoping the new energy can overcome the problem caused by combustion of fossil fuel. Conventional source of energy with high energy- consumption, heavy pollution and poor efficiency has not satisfied the development of Guangxi, Guangxi should take this opportunity to improve the level of economy. Guangxi has rich renewable energy resource and excellent condition, new energy such as solar energy, wind and biomass energy remains to be exploited. The development of new energy industry not only ensures the sustainable energy supply and the harmonious development of society, but also has a very important practical significance and strategic significance for the realization of the Twelfth Five-year plan and long-range program me of Guangxi national economy and social development. On the basis of the research on new energy industry, this paper uses Granger causality test and SWOT analysis to analyze the nece