滚装客船运输安全综合评价-交通信息工程及控制专业论文.docxVIP

摘要安全是水上交通运输的永叵主题。水上交通运输业是风险较大的行业，安全工作尤为 摘要 安全是水上交通运输的永叵主题。水上交通运输业是风险较大的行业，安全工作尤为 重要。近几年，我国滚装客船运输发展迅速，给水运市场增添了活力，但是也捞圭发生了 ～系列重大安全事故，给人民生命财产造成了极大损失，在国内外产生了恶劣影响。如何 加强滚装客船运输生产的安全管理，预防或减少安全事故的发生，确保滚装鞫}吕j垂输市场 健康发展，是当前亟待解决的问题。 本文以山东半岛一Z东半岛滚装客船市场为依托，运用系统论的观点和方法，将滚装 客船的运输安全置于人、船、环境、管理组成的船舶航行系统中，探讨船舶的航行安全。 作者首先对该系统的发展历程、现状进行了说明，通过对“大舜”事故原因分析，阐述了 当前滚装客船运输普遍存在的安全管理问题，并通过发放专家调查裹确定了滚装客自日运输 系统安全评价指标体系，利用层分析法确定各指标的权重；借助模糊数学中的模糊综合评 价方法，建立了用以评估滚装客船航行安全的量化评价模型，该模型经验证有效。模型的 建立对滚装客船的安全评估和安全管理提供了方法和依据。文章的最后作者针对当前安全 生产中存在的实际问题，提出了滚装客船运输安全管理建议。 关键诃：滚装客船运输安全综合评价层分析法评价模型建议 AbstractSafety Abstract Safety is eternal theme of marine traffic transport industry which has high risk．So，it is very important to develop security．Lately，ro-ro passenger ship transport has a rapid progress in our country,and bring energy to this industry， at the salne time,a series of serious safety misadventures happened，which brought enormous loss to life and property，and had disgusting affects both home and abroad． It has became a urgent question that how to enhance safety management in ro-ro passenger ships，and preventing or decreaseing safety misadventures，to ensure the ro—ro passenger ship industry go with a swing． In this study，system theory was used to analyze the safety of ro-ro passenger ship in Shandonniaotung peninsula，regards the safety of as a entire system， including people，ship，environment，and administer．Author gave a presentation for this system’s history and status in quo at the beginning of the paper， expounded the safety questions lie in rol-ro passenger ship industry at present through analyzing the accident reasons of“dashun”。and ascertained the safety evaluation index system of ro—ro passenger ship through expert questionnaires， The Analytic Hierarchy Precess(A咿)were used to confirm the every index’s weight， fuzzy synthesis appraisal methods in fuzzy mathematics were used to establish and evaluated the model for quantity evaluating safety in ro-ro passenger ship． Establishment of this model afford