连锁超市逆向物流量库存成本研究-工商管理专业论文.docxVIP

连锁超市逆向物流量库存成本研究摘 连锁超市逆向物流量库存成本研究 摘 要 国内连锁超市企业起步较晚，设施落后，信息化程度低。连锁超市经营的产 品更新速度快，订货量难以准确预计，导致产品积压，且不能及时退回供应商， 逆向物流数量巨大，严重影响企业的经济效益。本文在此背景下对连锁超市逆向 物流量库存成本进行研究，明确其影响因素并提出优化建议。 文章对连锁超市、逆向物流、物流量等概念进行了界定，并对物流量预测方 法和库存管理的相关文献进行了综述。结合各模型与连锁超市库存管理特点，选 择指数平滑法预测模型为本文研究的理论依据。文章根据产品或包装进入逆向物 流系统的原因、途径以及回流物品的处置方式不同，结合连锁超市的运营特点对 研究的因素进行分类，为模型构建做铺垫。在指数平滑法预测模型基础上，本文 科学构建了连锁超市逆向物流量库存成本模型。模型主要考虑了产品的平滑系数、 趋势平滑系数、季节性平滑系数、退货率、损毁率、次品率等突出因素，其他次 要影响因素关注较少。案例分析中针对连锁超市逆向物流量反映典型的产品，本 文从中选取20种具有代表性的进行实证分析，通过MATLAB编程计算出总的库存 成本。随后选取13号产品通过不断调整各参数，对比计算结果来验证各因素对单 个产品影响力的大小。最后根据影响因素不同将20种产品进行分类，针对不同类 产品提出优化建议，最终达到降低总体逆向物流量库存成本的目的。 上述研究成果的应用对降低连锁超市的物流成本、促进我国连锁超市的快速 发展将具有良好的社会和经济效益。 关键词：连锁超市；逆向物流量；库存成本；影响因素 Ⅱ 硕士学位论文Abstract 硕士学位论文 Abstract Supermarket chains in China started lately and their equipments are both backward and low level of information-based．The goods in supermarket chains update quickly and it is difficult to estimate accurately about order quantity．Such situation causes product overstocked which cannot return to suppliers immediately． Therefore，the figure of reverse logistics is significant which damages the firm’S economical avenue．This dissertation studies the cost of reverse logistics stock for supermarket chains under the background provided above and suggests some improving advices while identifying relevant impact factors． The paper defined some relevant concepts like supermarket chains，reverse logistics and，etc，and reviewed the relevant literatures about anticipation methods for amount of reverse logistics and stock theory．Considered each model’S feature and the characteristic of supermarket chains，the paper chose exponential smoothing method forecasts model as the theoretical evidence．Combing with the features of supermarket chains the paper classified the factors as the basis for model construction through considering the reasons and ways of products or packing entering to reverse logistics system and the difference of dealing ways of recycling goods．The paper built the rever