因果关系和通用人工智能.PDF

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Learning Causality and Learning with Causality: A Road to Intelligence Kun Zhang kunz 1@ Carnegie Mellon University Categorization by Google Photos Google apologizes for algorithm mistakenly calling black people 'gorillas' Adversarial Attack (Goodfellow, 2015) Artificial “Intelligence” •Traditional machine learning usually assumes a fixed data distribution; avoids overfitting •Intelligence: understanding; control/intervention; decomposability; information fusion, learning with few examples, extrapolation To Achieve “Artificial” Intelligence • Intelligence? • An evolution, selection, and growth perspective • Two components • Survival: Good prediction/decision across scenarios • Inner compact representation… • Creativity • Causal representation • The two types of representations seem consistent Causality vs. Association Causality vs. Dependence •Causality ➜ dependence ! Dependence ➜ causality (/comics/correlation.png) 3 Outline •Learning causality X Y •Conditional independence X Y Z •Independent noise X Y •Independent changes •Transfer learning •Modularity or independent changes Reveal Causality from Observational Data? • Connection between causal structure and statistical properties of the data under suitable assumptions ? • Properties of causal systems: modularity If there is no common cause of X and Y,

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