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Asia Pacific Economic Outlook
3rd Quarter 2017
COVER IMAGE BY JESSICA MCCOURT
1
1
Asia Pacific Economic Outlook
CONTENTS
3 Australia
Gearing up for better days, but challenges linger
7 Indonesia
GDP growth unlikely to shoot up in 2017
15 Singapore
Designing the future in the midst of uncertainty
23 South Korea
Uncertain relations and a new president
About the authors
Additional resources
PAGE 3
PAGE 3
Asia Pacific Economic Outlook
With exports driving growth last year and signs of global recovery becoming more visible, Australia seems to be moving toward better days. However, the economy has been facing challenges related to its labor market and domestic demand.
Australia
Gearing up for better days, but challenges linger
By Rumki Majumdar
Introduction
With signs of global recovery recently becoming more visible, Australia is probably moving toward better days ahead. Despite a weak Q3, the econo- my grew at 2.5 percent in 2016.1 Exports were the primary driver of growth in the economy last year. With iron ore, coal, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) constituting 54 percent of exports in 2016, Austra- lia’s exports benefitted from the steady revival of commodity prices through the year. China’s rising demand for commodities and a gradual recovery in global growth resulted in a strong pickup in export volume as well. In addition, the continued deprecia- tion of the Australian dollar (AUD) since 2014 has
boosted services exports, especially in tourism and education, resulting in an improved services trade balance.
The strong momentum in exports has continued in 2017 as well and is expected to remain throughout this year. With LNG capacity set to increase over the next couple of years, export volumes will likely be supported by increased production. Iron ore export volumes are likely to improve, supported by low-cost producers. The Australian dollar is expected to re- main competitive and will likely boost the services sector further. All these bode well for the trade b
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