中泰农产品贸易互补性与竞争性测算.pdf

摘 要 本文通过对联合国贸易数据库 （UNcomtrade）提供的关于中泰两国在 2008-2018年近十年的农产品出口额、出口农产品的结构以及出口的市场数据等 的基础上，对分别对中泰农产品贸易各自的现状进行总结；并在此数据基础上， 构建中泰两国市场相似度指数、产品相似度指数以及农产品互补性指数等中泰农 产品贸易的双边关系对比分析指标，结果发现：在产品市场上，发现中国与泰国 出口的市场，各自排名前五的国家中有四个是一致的，分别是美国、日本、马来 10 西亚以及韩国；在产品结构上，出口的农产品种类排名前十五中，有 种农产 品是一致的。因此本文认为中国与泰国在农产品出口上存在较强的竞争关系。其 次，通过对比中泰两国在自然气候、人力资源、土地资源以及地理位置的差异发 现，泰国出口的热带农产品以及土地资源密集型产品上与中国出口的温带农产品 以及人力资源密集型产品上，具有一定的互补性。 关键词 农产品贸易；互补性；竞争性； V Abstract Based on theUnitedNations trade database (uncomtrade) about the export volume of agricultural products,the structure of agricultural products and the export market data of China and Thailand in the past decade of 2008-2018, this paper summarizes the current situation of China and Thailand's agricultural products trade respectively, and on this data, constructs the market similarity index and product similarity index of China and Thailand The results show that: in the product market, the export markets of China and Thailand arethe same, four ofthetop five countries arethe same,which are the United States, Japan, Malaysia and South Korea; in the product structure, the top 15 agricultural products are 10 It is consistent to grow agricultural products. Therefore, this paper holds that there is a strong competitive relationship between China and Thailandin the export of agriculturalproducts.Secondly,by comparingthe differences in natural climate, human resources, land resources and geographical locationbetween China and Thailand,it isfoundthat thetropical agriculturalproducts and land resource intensive products exported from Thailand are complementary to the temperate agricultural products and human resource intensive products exported from China. Key words：Agriculturalproductstrade；complementarity；competitiveness;