全球光伏市场分析报告（20132017）.doc

全球光伏市场分析报告（2013-2017） GLOBALMARKETOUTLOOKFor Photovoltaics20<13-20<17 Principal authors and analysts:Ga??tan Masson, Marie Latour, Mano??l Rekinger, Ioannis-Thomas Theologitis, Myrto PapoutsiEditor:Craig WinnekerPublication coordination:Benjamin Fontaine, Marie LatourExternal contributors:3E, APER, APESF, APEU, APISOLAR, APREN, APVIA, ATERSA, Australian PV Association, BPVA, BSW-Solar, CREIA, CZEPHO, Danish PV Association, EDORA, First Solar, Fronius, GENSED, GIFI, Goldbeck, HELAPCO, Holland Solar,HUPIA, IEA-PVPS Task <1, JPEA, KOPIA, Latvian PV Association, Martifer, Photovoltaic Technology and Business Association, PVAUSTRIA, PV Poland, PV Vlaanderen, REC, Renewable Association of Israel, RBF, RTS Corporation, SAPI, SEIA, SMA, SolarTrade Association, SunEdison, SvenskSolenergi, Swissolar, TRINA Solar, UNEF, WackerDesign:Onehemisphere, SwedenImages: Federico Rostagno (cover), ErSol Solar Energy AG. - Photographer: Torsten Pro?? (pages 4, 48), Martifer Solar S.A (page8), First Solar (page <12), Kyocera Fineceramics (page 40), Fraunhofer ISE - Institute for Solar Energy (page 56).Disclaimer: Please note that all historical figures provided in this brochure are valid at the time of publication and will be revisedwhen new and proven figures are available. All forecast figures are based on EPIA knowledge at the time of publication. Pleasealso note that forecast figures have been rounded. TABLE OF CONTENTS<1.INTRODUCTION4 2.METHODOLOGY AND SCENARIOS83.MARKET EVOLUTION<12 A.Historical PV market development<13<1. World<132. Europe<16B.The market in Europe in 20<12 and the forecast until 20<17<19<1. “Installed” vs. “commissioned capacity” figures<192. Relevant European markets in 20<12203. Segmentation224. Forecasts of PV in Europe until 20<17 255. 2020 potential and targets in the EU 266. Support schemes in Europe and prospects for PV30C.The global market in 20<12 and the forecast until 20<173<1<1. Forecasts until 20<17332. Forecasts per segment363. Future prospects for ma