商务与经济统计习题答案（第8版，中文版）SBE8-SM06.doc

Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions 6 - PAGE 6 6 - PAGE 5 6 - PAGE 1 Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions Learning Objectives 1. Understand the difference between how probabilities are computed for discrete and continuous random variables. 2. Know how to compute probability values for a continuous uniform probability distribution and be able to compute the expected value and variance for such a distribution. 3. Be able to compute probabilities using a normal probability distribution. Understand the role of the standard normal distribution in this process. 4. Be able to compute probabilities using an exponential probability distribution. 5. Understand the relationship between the Poisson and exponential probability distributions. Solutions: 1. a. b. P(x = 1.25) = 0. The probability of any single point is zero since the area under the curve above any single point is zero. c. P(1.0 ? x ? 1.25) = 2(.25) = .50 d. P(1.20 < x < 1.5) = 2(.30) = .60 2. a. b. P(x < 15) = .10(5) = .50 c. P(12 ? x ? 18) = .10(6) = .60 d. e. 3. a. b. P(x ? 130) = (1/20) (130 - 120) = 0.50 c. P(x > 135) = (1/20) (140 - 135) = 0.25 d. minutes 4. a. b. P(.25 < x < .75) = 1 (.50) = .50 c. P(x ? .30) = 1 (.30) = .30 d. P(x > .60) = 1 (.40) = .40 5. a. Length of Interval = 261.2 - 238.9 = 22.3 b. Note: 1 / 22.3 = 0.045 P(x < 250) = (0.045)(250 - 238.9) = 0.4995 Almost half drive the ball less than 250 yards. c. P(x ? 255) = (0.045)(261.2 - 255) = 0.279 d. P(245 ? x ? 260) = (0.045)(260 - 245) = 0.675 e. P(x ? 250) = 1 - P(x < 250) = 1 - 0.4995 = 0.5005 The probability of anyone driving it 250 yards or more is 0.5005. With 60 players, the expected number driving it 250 yards or more is (60)(0.5005) = 30.03. Rounding, I would expect 30 of these women to drive the ball 250 yards or more. 6. a. P(12 ? x ? 12.05) = .05(8) = .40 b. P