英文【CSET】通过竞争促进人工智能创新.docx

英文【CSET】通过竞争促进人工智能创新.docx

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CenterforSecurityandEmergingTechnology|1

ExecutiveSummary

Intheyearsahead,increasinglyadvancedartificialintelligencesystemsareexpectedtoreshapetheglobaleconomicandnationalsecuritylandscape.Maintaininglong-termU.S.leadershipinAIwillrequirepolicymakerstofosteradiversified,contestable,andcompetitivemarketforcommercialAIsystems.Competitivemarketsareakeydriverofinnovation,incentivizingincumbentfirmstocontinuouslyimprovetheirofferingsand

encouragingstartupstobringdisruptiveproductstothemarket.Inadditionto

galvanizinginnovation,promotingcompetitionamongAIdeveloperswouldpreventtheU.S.AIindustryfrombecomingadigitalmonocultureandmakethecountrymoreresilientagainsteconomicdisruptions,technologicalsurprises,andothernational

securityrisks.

Asitstandstoday,however,thecommercialAIindustryseemspoisedtobecomelesscompetitiveovertime.TheorganizationoftheAIsupplychain,theeconomicsofAI

development,andtheindustry’sprevailing“bigger-is-better”paradigmgiveincumbenttechnologycompaniesaclearadvantageintheproductionofAIsystems.ThesefirmshaveboththemeansandmotivationtousetheirmarketpowertostiflecompetitionintheAIsector.Byleveragingtheircontrolovercomputinginfrastructure,trainingdata,foundationmodels,andproductdistributionchannels,incumbentscaneffectivelypickwinnersandlosersintheAImarket,potentiallypreventingdisruptiveupstartsand

theirinventionsfromreachingthemarket.Ifleftunchecked,thisbehaviorcould

underminethelong-terminnovationcapacityandresiliencyoftheU.S.AIecosystem.

ThoughthecommercialAIsectorisstillrelativelyyoung,theorganizationofthe

marketisbeginningtosolidify.Assuch,itisappropriateforpolicymakerstobegin

pursuingtargetedmeasurestofostercompetitionwithintheAIecosystem.Waitingtoolongtotakeactionrisksentr

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