驶向增长:未来十年中东造船潜力达400亿美元.docxVIP

驶向增长:未来十年中东造船潜力达400亿美元.docx

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Sailingtowardgrowth

TheMiddleEast’sUS$40billion

shipbuildingpotentialoverthenext

decade

EXECUTIVESUMMARY

MosttradeintheMiddleEastisconductedviamaritimeroutes.Ata

timewhentheglobalshipbuildingindustry,currentlydominatedbyAsiancountries,isgrowingquickly,thatfactrepresentsanopportunityfor

MiddleEastcountries,inparticularthoseoftheGulfCooperationCouncil(GCC),1todeveloptheirownshipbuildingcapabilities.IncreasedmaritimecapabilitieswouldenableGCCcountriestomeetdemandacrossmultiplesegments:commercialshipping;defense;andhigh-value,specialized

areassuchasleisurevessels.

WeestimatethattheshipbuildingopportunityforGCCcountriescouldamounttoaboutUS$40billionoverthenextdecade,thankstofourfactors.

First,GCCcountriesareevermoreimportantinglobalcommerce.In2023,thesecountrieswereresponsiblefor3.4percentofglobaltotaltradeingoods.2Muchofthisactivitystemsfromenergyexports,includinghydrocarbonsandalternativefuels.

Second,GCCcountriesarestrategicallylocatedalongcriticalmaritimecorridorsinwhichvesseltrafficissettoincrease.

Third,GCCcountriesaresignificantdefensespenders.SaudiArabia,forinstance,wastheseventh-largestdefensespenderintheworldin2024.3SaudiVision2030aimstolocalize50percentofmilitaryspending.4

Fourth,thetourismandleisuresegmentsaregrowing,andGCCcountriesareemergingasluxurydestinations.

Developingtheshipbuildingindustrycouldcreatenewopportunitiesforgrowth,innovation,

andemployment—including50,000to70,000directandindirectjobsintheregion.Activationofthissector,however,requirescleardirectionandvisionfromgovernments.Theactivationofchangeincludesdemandsecurity,infrastructuredevelopment,financialincentives,andsupplychainlocalization.Alongsidethesedriversareenablersthatcombinetoassisttheshipbuildingecosystem,suchas

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