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Lonmin Plc
Deutsche Bank
Markets Research
Rating Company Date
Sell Lonmin Plc 17 July 2017
Forecast Change
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Africa
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 14 Jul 2017 (GBP) 67.50
Platinum LMI.L LMI LN LSE LMI
Price Target (GBP) 53.00
52-week range (GBP) 243.50 - 63.00
3Q17: digging deep
Valuation & Risks
Patrick Mann, CFA
Good operational momentum but no escaping low Rand-PGM prices
Lonmin reported solid third quarter production numbers with its cash balance Research Analyst
increasing by US$11m from the prior quarter to US$236m (gross); or US$86m net +27-11-775-7282
of a US$150m term loan drawn. Lonmin sold 180koz of platinum (345koz PGMs)
in the third quarter of 2017, up 10% year-on-year, at a 3% lower year-on-year Key changes
revenue basket of R11,506 per PGM ounce, and cash costs of production came Target Price 48.00 to 53.00 ↑ 10.4%
in at R11,278 per PGM ounce (+6.4% year-on-year). This is a good operational Source: Deutsche Bank
result based on Lonmin's controllables, but at spot Rand
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