基于事故模型的交叉口优化.pdfVIP

北京交通大学 结课论文 祝超 基于事故模型的交叉口优化 摘要：交叉口是道路交通网的重要枢纽点，也是交通事故的多发点。优化交叉口从而改善交叉 口交通安全是降低我国交通事故数量的重要途径。 本文从分析交通系统交叉口事故的严重性出发，对国内外交通事故模型和交通冲突技术进行 分析说明，指出在交通系统中建立交叉口事故模型的重要性，形成合理实用的模型。论文阐述影 响交叉口交通安全的因素，并结合威海市的实际情况，提出威海市交叉口出现的主要问题，在广 泛调查交叉口事故数据，了解威海市交叉口现状的基础上，提出了关于事故数与交通量，交叉口 面积，交通枢纽复杂程度和交叉口主支路交通量比值等参数之间的模型，并根据实际的交通事故 数据对模型进行验证，对交叉口事故的发生进行定性预测和定量的评价，对交叉口的优化设计提 供更好的理论依据。 关键词 交叉口事故数据；交通事故模型；交通安全 THE RESEARCH OF ROAD AND TRAFFIC CONDITION OF INTERSECTION AND TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS Abstract ：Intersection is an important hub for road transport network, it is also a traffic accident-prone spots. And it is an important way to improve the intersections safety as to reduce the number of traffic accidents in China. This article analyzes the road intersection accidents gravity to embark, carries on the analysis to the domestic and foreign traffic accident model and the transportation conflict technology to explain, pointed out the importance of establishing the road intersection accident model, must form the reasonable practical model, must be the overall evaluation various aspects factor. The paper elaborated that affects the road intersection traffic safety the factor, and unifies Weihais actual situation, proposed the Weihai road intersection appears the subject matter, in the widespread investigation road intersection accident data, understood the Weihai road intersection present situation in the foundation, proposed about the accident number and the volume of traffic, the road intersection area, the transport hub complex degree and parameter and so on road intersection main leg between volume of traffic ratio models, and carries on the confirmation Keywords Intersection accident data, Traffic