煤层突出危险性的预评价方法.pdfVIP

37 7 Vol37 No7 2009 7 CoalScience and Technology July 2009 黄政祥, 龙祖根 (, 550025) : 为了判断煤层群中各煤层突出危险性大小, 基于对煤与瓦斯突出的预测 标与预测方法的 综合分析, 结合模糊数学, 分级量化了评价 标, 提出了煤层突出危险性的预评价方法, 通过实例 分析其可行性和实用性发现: 该方法能反映煤层突出危险性大小且得出的量化评价结果有可比性 : 煤与瓦斯突出; 危险性; 模糊数学; 煤矿安全评价; 保护层 : TD713 : : 0253- 2336 ( 2009) 07- 0064- 03 P reevaluation M ethod of Seam Ou tburst Dangers HU NG Zhengxiang, LONG Zugen (Gu izhou P rovincial CoalM ine D esign and R esearch Institu te, G uiyang 550025, C hina ) A bstrac t: In order to judge the large or smalloutburst danger in each seam of the seam group, based on the comprehensive analysisw ith the prediction index and predictedmethods of the coal and gas outburst, in combined with the fuzzy mathematics, the paper quantized the evaluation indexes in classes and provided the preevaluationmethod of the seam outburst danger. The feasibility and practicability from the cause analysis showed that the predictionmethod could reflect the seam outburst danger large or small and could have the quantized e valuation resultw ith the comparability. K ey w ord s: coal and gas outburst; fatalness; fuzzy mathematics; evaluation ofm ine safety; protective layer , P ∃ 10 f % 05 , p /MPa ∃074 , 4 , , , , , 2 1 21