MBA黄盛鑫论文终稿-CAFTA建立对广西货物贸易的影响-中图.docVIP

中图分类号： 密级：公开 工商管理硕士（MBA） 学位论文 论文题目：CAFTA建立对广西货物贸易的影响 作者姓名： 黄 盛 鑫 学科专业： 工商管理 研究方向： 国际贸易 指导教师： 王国安 完成日期：二一一年月 CAFTA建立对广西货物贸易的影响 摘 要 中国—东盟自由贸易区(CAFTA)的建立，对促进中国和东盟各国的经济贸易交往，增强中国与东盟各国的社会文化交流，无疑起着举足轻重的作用。广西背靠大西南，面向东南亚，处于华南经济圈、西南经济圈和东盟经济圈的结合部，为西南地区最便捷的出海通道，拥有极其优越的区位优势，而广西能否利用自身良好的地利优势在自由贸易区建设中发挥重要的桥梁和纽带作用十分令人关注。 本文运用实证分析的方法，引用大量的数据资料对广西与东盟双边贸易进行分析。并对广西与东盟双边贸易总体现状、广西对东盟贸易结构及变化进行研究，利用贸易结合度(TI)指数和显示性比较优势(RCA)指数，揭示CAFTA建立给广西带来的静态和动态贸易效应，从而找出广西与东盟双边贸易中存在的问题：贸易商品集中、市场单一、互补性差和竞争性强等。在此基础上，分析广西与东盟双边贸易调整所面临的新形势，探讨扩大双边贸易的对策建议，以期为科学研究和政府决策提供有益的参考。 关键词：广西，东盟，FTA，货物贸易 THE IMPACT OVER GUANGXI’S COMMODITY TRADE WITH THE ESTABLISHMENT OF CAFTA ABSTRACT The establishment of China-ASEAN Free trade area (CAFTA) will undoubtedly play an important role in promoting the trade and economic interaction for both sides, as well as enhancing social and cultural interflow. Guangxi, with its exceptional geographical advantages, backs by the south-western inland and faces south-east Asia, and located in the conjunction of southern China, south-western China and ASEAN economic circle, is one of the most convenience ocean-bound thoroughfare for the commodities of south-western China. Meanwhile whether Guangxi can avail itself with the above advantages and works as linking and bridging node under the construction of the free trade area has drawn great concern. This thesis adopted empirical analysis method, quoted large amount of data to analyze bilateral trade between Guangxi and ASEAN. It carried out research on the overall status of bilateral trade and the change of trading structure between Guangxi and ASEAN, applied trade intensity index and the revealed comparative advantage index to demonstrate the static and dynamic trade effect upon the establishment of CAFTA. Then sorted out the existing problem of bilateral trade, such as: trade concentrated in a few commodities and markets, with low complementary feature and strong compet