大学毕业设计—pnn神经网络评价方法本科.docVIP

摘 要 企业评价是检验企业经营效果、校正发展方向的重要手段，对企业的成败具有决定意义。如何用定量的方法准确的评价企业是人们一直在研究的问题，对企业的正确评价可以指导我们的投资决策。概率神经网络是一种可用于模式分类的神经网络，本文将利用概率神经网络对企业进行评价，将企业分为“好”和“差”两类。 本文综述了用于企业评价的方法、概率神经网络原理及结构，并将概率神经网络应用到对企业的评价中。 首先，利用逐步回归方法从60家上市公司的12个财务指标进行筛选得到与企业收益率显著相关的4个指标。 其次，以这4个财务指标为输入向量，以企业的好差情况为输出向量，利用60家上市数据建立并训练PNN神经网络。 最后，对训练样本和测试样本进行了仿真，仿真结果表明：利用概率神经网络进行企业分类评价的是一种非常有效的方法。 在结论中，对本文内容进行了总结,并对今后的工作做了更进一步的展望。 关键词：评价方法， PNN神经网络，SPSS，MATLAB  ABSTRACT Enterprise’s evaluation is an important means to inspect the business’s results and check the developmental direction . How to use quantitative method to evaluate enterprises accurately is a question which people have been researched all along, and the correct evaluation of enterprises can guide our investment decisions. Probabilistic neural network is a net which can be used for the classification.In this paper, the probabilistic neural network is used to evaluate enterprises,and enterprises are divided into the good and the bad . This paper summarizes the methods which are applied to enterprise’s evaluation, and introduces the probabilistic neural network principle and structure, then probabilistic neural network is applied to evaluation of enterprises. First of all, four among twelve financial indicators of the 60 listed companies are significantly correlated with the yields on corporate bonds by using stepwise regression method. Secondly, four financial indicators are regarded as the input vector and the cases of the good or bad enterprises as the output vector. PNN neural network is established and trained by 60 listed data. Finally, the train samples and test samples are simulated, the results show that the probabilistic neural network is a very effective method to classificate and evaluate enterprise. In closing remarks, the content is summarized and further work is prospected in the future. KEY WORDS:: evaluation method, probabilistic neural network, SPSS, MATLAB 目 录 前言 1 第一章 绪论 2 1.1企业评价的目的与意义 2 1.2企业评价方法 2 1.2.1定性