CBS Open Programme Area Group on Information CBS节目组对信息公开.ppt

HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTING IN OPERATIONAL METEOROLOGY Geoff Love President of the WMO Commission for Basic Systems OVERVIEW A couple of definitions Where we have come from Where we are now Where we might be going in the short- and longer-terms DEFINITIONS High Performance Computing: Computing performed on a system that, at the time of its commissioning, qualified as one of the top 500 (publicly benchmarked) systems in terms of ability to deliver sustained floating point operations. DEFINITIONS Operational Meteorology: “Operational” requires that production systems are supported in a robust way (code upgrades are easily facilitated, data management is streamlined, visualisation tools are available, etc.) - to be distinguished from, for example, the research environment. “Meteorology” includes both climate and weather WHERE WE HAVE COME FROM ? YEAR MACHINE GFLOP 1968 IBM 360 0.00065 1982 FACOM M200 0.006 1988 ETA 10P 0.12 1990 CRAY X-MP 0.23 1992 CRAY Y-MP2E 0.7 1993 CRAY Y-MP3E 1 1995 CRAY Y-MP4E 1.3 1997 NEC SX-4 32 1998 2xNEC SX-4 64 1999 NEC SX-5 104 2000 NEC SX-5 128 2001 2xNEC SX-5 256 WHERE WE HAVE COME FROM ? WHERE WE HAVE COME FROM ? WHERE WE HAVE COME FROM ? SYSTEM EVOLUTION 1968 Regional analysis, regional prediction 1984 Experimental hemispheric prediction, regional nesting 1986 Hemispheric prediction, regional prediction 1990 Global prediction 1994 Regional assimilation, global assimilation WHERE ARE WE NOW ? Global and regional 3-D variational scheme for data assimilation. Global, regional and mesoscale atmospheric and ocean forecast systems. Ensemble production. Air quality modelling, including a variety of chemistry options. Dispersion, tropical cyclone and hydrologic modelling. Climate simulation, regional downscaling - eg., catchment scale water balances. Multi-operational system environment WHAT IS NEEDED TO SUPPORT THIS EFFORT ? Improving hardware, but of relatively stable design. Robust hardware. S