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Tollefson2012NatureHeatwavesblamedonglobalwarmingTollefson2012NatureHeatwavesblamedonglobalwarming
Heatwaves blamed on global warming
Unusually high frequency points to human influence.
Jeff Tollefson
07 August 2012 Corrected:
08 August 2012
Droughts are becoming more frequent in parts of the United States.
M. MOHADJERIN/THE NEW YORK TIMES/REDUX/EYEVINE
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NASA climatologist James Hansen made headlines during the US heatwave of 1988, declaring in testimony to Congress and during interviews on prime-time television that a build-up of greenhouse gases was increasing the probability of weather extremes. Now, as much of the United States sizzles through another torrid summer and the Midwest endures a historic drought, Hansen, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, claims that the future he predicted has arrived.
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“The climate dice are now loaded to a degree that a perceptive person old enough to remember the climate of 1951–1980 should recognize the existence of climate change, especially in summer,” he and his colleagues write in a paper entitled ‘Perceptions of Climate Change’1 published on 6 August. Just days earlier, on 1 August, Republican senators had challenged mainstream climate scientists over the existence of anthropogenic global warming at a hearing in Washington DC, underscoring the stubborn political divide over climate policy. Just as he did 24?years ago, Hansen has plunged into the debate, pre-empting the publication of his study with an opinion article in The Washington Post2.
Hansen’s team used seasonal temperature records for 1951–80, a period of relatively stable climate, as a baseline, then analysed the frequency and scale of subsequent temperature anomalies. On average, the team concludes, the globe has warmed by only about 0.5–0.6?°
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