James B杰姆斯. Elsner Department of Geography, Florida .pptVIP

Quantile and Poisson Regression Models in Hurricane Studies James B. Elsner Department of Geography, Florida State University Climatek, Inc. Acknowledgments: Thomas H. Jagger, Jim Kossin; Funding: NSF, RPI Take-Home Points According to Bister Emanuel (1998), the potential velocity of a hurricane is proportional to the SST and inversely proportional to the temperature above the hurricane. Thus during a period of inactive sun, the upper atmosphere is cooler increasing the potential hurricane intensity. But this is only over regions of sufficiently warm SST (high oceanic heat content) like