悉尼大学金融建模课件FINC6019_Lecture_3.ppt

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FINC6019 Lecture 3;Lecture Outline;Introduction;Introduction;Introduction;Review of financial Statements;Review of Financial Statements;Review of Financial Statements;Consider a company with the following income statement and balance sheet observed today (time 0) We wish to forecast these financial statements into the future;Example;The “Plug”;The Plug;The Plug;Balance Sheet Setup;This spreadsheet shows the implementation of the assumptions the company had regarding sales levels and related financial statement variables The “$” signs on the variables are extremely important;Example;Circular References;Circular References;Circular References;Circular References;;Free Cash Flow;Free Cash Flows;Free Cash Flows;Free Cash Flows;FCF for our Model;Firm Valuation;Firm Valuation;Firm Valuation;Firm Value (Excel);Alternatives to Terminal Value;Treatment of Cash and Marketable Securities in Valuation;Mid Year Discounting;Mid Year Discounting;Sensitivity Analysis;Data Tables;Sensitivity Analysis: (Single Variable);Sensitivity Analysis: (Two Variables);Debt as a Plug;;Debt as a Plug;;Debt as a Plug;Debt as a Plug;Incorporating a Target Debt/Equity Ratio;;Project Finance: Debt Repayment Schedule;Project Finance: Example;;Project Finance: Example;Project Finance: Example;;Project Finance: Example;Calculating Return on Equity;Calculating Return on Equity;

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