我国太阳能资源评估方法研究进展.pdf

2 0 1 7 我国太阳能资源评估方法研究进展 申彦波1, 2 （1 中国气象局公共气象服务中心，北京 100081；2 中国气象局风能太阳能资源中心，北京 100081） 摘要：太阳能资源评估是太阳能资源开发利用的基础性工作，自20世纪50年代以来，我国在这方面已经开展了大量的研 究。对近60余年我国在太阳能资源评估方法研究方面的工作进行回顾和总结，从统计反演法和物理反演法两个方面较详 细地评述了每种方法中所涉及的计算参数和各自的优缺点，并对当前太阳能资源评估工作中的难点和重点进行了分析和 讨论，认为关于云和气溶胶对太阳辐射影响的确定是两大难点，而构建一个综合利用各种数据资源、集成的太阳能资源 评估方法和数据库则是研究工作的重点。 关键词：太阳能资源，气候学方法，卫星遥感资料，辐射传输理论，地理信息数据 DOI：10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2017.01.008 Development of the Solar Energy Resource Assessment Methods in China Shen Yanbo1, 2 (1 China Meteorological Administration Public Meteorological Service Centre, Beijing 100081 2 Center for Wind and Solar Energy Resources, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081) Abstract: Study of the method of solar energy resource assessment is a basic work for the development and utilizing of solar energy. A lot of researches about this work have been carried out since 1950s. In this paper, we summarize previous works and partitionthem into 2 kinds, which are statistical method and physical method. Parameters in every method are introduced and the strongpoint and shortcoming about every method are commented. Difficulties and emphases in current solar energy resource assessment are analyzed and discussed. It is considered that the calculations of the influences of cloud and aerosol on surface radiation are two difficulties. Development should be focused on integrative method including all kinds of data in the future. Keywords: solar energy resource, climatologic method, geographic information system, satellite remote sensing data, radiative transfer theory 0 引言 是采用观测或计算的方法确定到达地面的太阳辐射量 太阳是地球表层几乎唯一的能量来源，人们所利 （短波辐射，包括总辐射、直接辐射和散射辐射），