建筑物沉降的非等间隔GM_1_1_模型的建立与改进.pdf

GM ( 1, 1) 陈鹏宇, 段新胜 ( () , 430074) : 根据灰色系统建模思想建立了建筑物沉降的非等间隔GM ( 1, 1) 模型, 并分 了该模型的 缺陷, 即背景值构造和初始值确定的不足, 建立了加权背景值和具有修正项的初始值, 背景值权值 和初始值修正项采用具有全局寻优能力的模式搜索法求解, 实例应用结果证明改进后的模型提高了 预测精度 : 沉降预测; 非等间隔GM ( 1, 1) 模型; 缺陷; 模式搜索 : TU196 : A Establishment and improvement of non-equal interval GM ( 1, 1) modelof building subsidence Chen Pengyu, Duan X insheng (College of eng ineering, Ch ina University of Geosciences; Wuhan 430074, China) bstract: The non equal interval GM ( 1, 1) model is built based on gray system modeling idea. In order to analyze its defec,t such as the deficiency of the construction of background value, the choice of initial value, the weighted construction of background value and the initial value w ith a correction term are all pointed out. The weight of background value and the correction term of the initial value are worked out by pattern search method, which can seek the global excellence. Test results show that the mi proved non equal intervalGM ( 1, 1) model can increase the forecasting precision. Key words: subsidence forecasting; non equal interval GM ( 1, 1) model; defect; pattern search , 0 [ 8, 9] GM ( 1, 1) ; , » GM ( 1, 1) , , , [ 10, 11] , , GM ( 1, 1) [ 1] , GM ( 1, 1) [ 2] [ 3] ; , , , , , [ 4 ~ 9] , , , , GM ( 1, 1) , , : 2009 05 17 , ¹ : ( 2009