长沙市农业可持续发展定量评价.pdfVIP

湖南农业科学 2011 ， (21):139-141 ， 146 Hunan Agricultural Sciences 长沙市农业可持续发展定量评价 万大娟 1 气杨仁斌1 ，羊志敏2 (1.湖南农业大学资源环境学院，湖南长沙 410128; 2. 湖南师范大学资源与环境科学学院，湖南长沙 410081) 摘 要:从经济、社会、资源、环境4 个子系统中选取24 个指标构成长沙市农业可持续发展评价指标体系，采用层次分析法和 德尔菲法相结合确定各子系统和指标的权重，对长沙市农业综合系统和各子系统的可持续发展水平进行定量评价。结果表 明，2∞1 年至2(朋年，长沙市农业可持续发展综合指数在不断增加，8 年间增长了 45.52%。其中社会子系统的拉动作用占居 首位，其次是经济子系统和资源子系统，环境子系统的增长速度还有待提高。 关键词:长沙市:农业可持续发展;定量评价:指标体系;层次分析法 中图分类号:归27 文献标i只码:A 文章编号:1 006-品OX(2011)21 -0139-03 Quantitative Assessment of Sustainable Development of Agriculture in Changsha City 1 2 WAN Da-juan .2, YANG Ren-bi时， SHAN Zhi-min ρ. College 01Resources and Environmem, HNA U, C，阳ngsha 410128, PRC; 2. School 01Resources and Environmem Sc ience, Hunan Normal University, Chongsha 41ω81， PRC) Abstract: 24 indicator亩， selected from four subsystems (environment, economy, society and resources) respectively, were used ωestablish as回ssment index system for sustainable development of agriculture in Changsha City.ηlen， ω 阴阳titatively 倒四ss the sustainable developing level of integrated system and 四.ch subsystem of agriculture in Changsha City , the weights of each subsystem and index were determined by the analytic hierarchy process method and Delphi method. The results showed 也at the comprehensive index of sustainable development of agriculture in Changsha City is constantly increasing from 2001 to 2∞9， it increased by 45.52% wi由in eight years. The contribution of society subsystem wωhigher than the other subsystems, and following is economy subsystem and reso旧Ces